Tuesday, June 6, 2023

NBA FINALS GAME 3 BETTING PROPS AND PICKS 5/7/2023

 


NBA FINALS GAME 3 IN MIAMI


            The Miami Heat had a crazy fourth quarter in game 2 to even the series and become the first team to beat the Nuggets in Denver in this year's playoffs, something the Lakers and Suns couldn't do. We're going to quickly run through the numbers and then bet on the spread and some props. Let's jump in!


The Pick
     These two teams are just so different, the Nuggets are slower and methodical and rely on consistency while the Heat are willing to run around and tire out defenders then get off volume shots. While victorious in game 1, the Nuggets couldn't slow the Heat down in Denver in game two and now that we're going to Miami, the Nuggets should be on edge because they are on the verge of falling behind with another game in Miami Friday. Lock Picker is riding with the Heat and with Jimothy Butler tomorrow night for game 3. DraftKings currently has the Heat +2.5 @ -115, so we're tossing 2 units down on it.

The Props

FIRST BASKET (1 unit)
Murray +600

POINT TOTAL (2 units)
Jimmy Butler o25.5 +100

PLAYER THREES (1 unit)
Gabe Vincent o2.5 +100

MLB BETTING 5/6/23 YRFI/NRFI

 


YRFI/NRFI 





        Today we have a quick four first inning score predictions. 1 unit on each individual play and while we aren't parlaying the NRFI's, we encourage you to! 

        YRFI      -125
        Detroit Tigers @ Philadelphia Phillies

        YRFI      -140
        St. Louis Cardinals @ Texas Rangers



       NRFI      -120
      Oakland Athletics @ Pittsburgh Pirates

       NRFI      -135
       Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians


        1 unit on each individual play, Lock It In!

Sunday, May 21, 2023

CELTICS @ HEAT GAME 3 ECF BETTING PROPS AND PICKS

 

Eastern Conference Finals Game 3 Picks & Props


 
    Not to be ironic, but the Heat are on fire right now. This series has been tight so far despite the 7 seed winning the first two games on the road. The Celtics may be the better team, but the Heat have out hustled them in the second quarter of both games so far. The Heat could really but the nail in the coffin tonight with a 3-0 lead and another game in Miami Tuesday, but the Celtics won't let that happen. They'll treat tonight like an elimination game because it's nothing short of that realistically. 


    
Jimmy Buckets givin em da bidness


    
The Picks:

Heat Props:
  • 1 unit on Max Straus First Basket Scorer @ +800
  • 2 units on Jimmy Butler o29.5 @ +100
  • 2 units on Bam Adebayo to record a double-double @-130

Celtics Props:
  • 1 units on Celtics 1h -3 @-180
  • 3 units on Boston Celtic -5.5 @+100🔏🔏🔏
  • 1 unit on Jayson Tatum to be the first player to 5 points @+310
  • 2 units on Malcomb Brogdon under 14.5 points @-105

        12 units on the table, Lock It In!🔒

MLB QUICK BETTING PROPS AND PICKS 5/21/2023

 

MLB QUICK PICKS

    Thommy Doggs is allergic to red like a crip, so we need to get back in the black. We're kicking it into overdrive and getting our money right before anything else. Without any further introductions, The Picks. 



CLE Guardians @ NY Mets 

1 unit on Over 7.5 runs -105

 

BOS Red Sox @ SD Padres

2 units on YRFI -110


MIN Twins @ LA Angels 

1 unit on Under 8 runs -115


     4 units up, time to get our $money$ right. LOCK IT IN!


Tuesday, May 2, 2023

3 MUST BET MLB NRFI: 5/2/2023

 

3 NRFI MUSTS



             Today we have an opportunity in the MLB like no other! We have some of the league's highest lowest first inning scorers facing off with around even money on all of them! From left to right the % categories are no runs1st inning 2023%, Last 3 %, Last 1 %, Home %, Away %, and 2022%.

        The four cut off teams are:
        1 LAD                 53.33%
        T2 Pittsburgh      55.17%
        T2 Tampa Bay    55.17%
        T2 St. Louis        55.17%


        NY Mets(29th/86%) @ Detroit (28th/85% )              6:40 pm Eastern

        Baltimore (26th/78%) @ Kansas City (17th/69%)    7:40 pm Eastern

        Milwaukee ((21st/71%) @ Colorado (17th/69%)      8:40 pm Eastern



        As you can see, even the best of these six teams is only scoring in the first inning 30% of the time, so we have to take advantage of these odds. We need to start rolling on these NRFI bets, and today is the day we turn our luck around!

THE PICKS!! 
3 units
NY Mets @ Detroit NRFI -115🔏

2 units 
Baltimore @ Kansas City NRFI -105🔏

2 units 
Milwaukee @ Colorado NRFI +115🔏🔏

Arsenal v Chelsea Props and Picks: 5/2/2023

 

Arsenal v Chelsea


        We're trying our hand at soccer again! Last time wasn't our best performance, but we need to get back to the promise land. Today we are taking a look at the EPL as an efficient Arsenal takes on a struggling Chelsea. We have a prop and a pick to give out, so let's jump right in.

        Staring off with the prop, 21-year-old Arsenal sensation Bukayo Saka has been responsible for 16 scores (9 goals, 7 assists) through 16 home PL games this season. Saka has had a goal and assist in 3 of those games as well. Against a struggling club like Chelsea, I expect the young footballer to show out and try to put one in the back of the net. 
The Prop:
1 units Bukayo Saka anytime goal scorer @+200

         As far as the game goes, Arsenal is -185 favorites to Chelseas +500 underdog value on DraftKings. Chelsea hasn't played great defense this year, and their games are often higher scoring even if it is 0-4 against them. Instead of taking the Arsenal ML, we are looking at total goals scored.
The Pick: 
2 units Over 2.5 goals scored @-125

Monday, May 1, 2023

MoneyLine Mike gives 6 MLB Winners: MLB MoneyLine Picks 5/1/2023

     

$Major League Money$ 

 
    We're pumping them out today folks! We know you have the money, so why not use it to make yourself even more money?? MoneyLine Mike gave us a winner last week, so it only seems right to bring him back for tonight's slate. We already covered the double header, so we have six more games to look into tonight in the MLB. MLM is going to give winners for each of the games tonight, then at the end we'll be throwing together a company parlay to bet for the night. Let's jump right in!


7:05 pm Eastern 
   
    Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
    The Pick: Cubs ML -135

    Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees
    The Pick: Yankees ML -135


7:10 pm Eastern

     Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
     The Pick: Blue Jays ML -150


8:10 pm Eastern

    San Fransisco Giants @ Houston Astros 
    The Pick: Astros ML -180


9:40 pm Eastern

     Cincinati Reds @ San Diego Padres 
     The Pick: Padres -225


10:10 pm Eastern

     Philadelphia Phillies @ LA Dodgers 
     The Pick: Dodgers -165 


        While each of these are favorites, according to FiveThirtyEight, four of these are absolute locks for the night. With this information, we're going to throw together a 4-leg parlay for the Lock Picker community to ride tonight. DO NOT MISS OUT ON THIS!

4-Leg +530 on DraftKings
  • LA Dodgers ML -165
  • SD Padres ML -225
  • H-Town Astros ML -180
  • NY Yankees ML -135
    WHALE PLAY: 4 UNITS @ +530 TO NET 21 UNITS!! LOCK IT IN!!

Double Header @ Citi Field: Mets Host Braves 5/1/2023

     

Quick Double Header @ Citi Field



         Today the Mets are hosting the Braves in a double header with game one taking place at 1:10 pm and game two at 4:40 pm Eastern. Game one we have two real studs starting on the mound with a matchup between Spencer Strider for the Braves and Denyi Reyes for the Mets. While Strider should hold steady through the afternoon, Reyes should get a boost from playing at home to hopefully keep competitive with Strider.

GAME 1 Picks: 
      
    1 unit on under 8.5 runs             @ -115
    1 unit on NRFI                           @ -125
    1 unit on Braves -1.5                  @ -120


       After the first game wraps up, Game two at 4:40 pm will be starting not long after. The guys shouldn't be too tired after the game, but with the new pace of play rule and the games going quicker, maybe they'll be more worn out than you would think. The Mets should come out swinging in the second matchup and make the game a bit mor interesting.

GAME 2 Picks: 

    1 unit on over 9 runs     @+100
    2 units on NRFI             @-105
    1 unit on Mets +1.5       @-155

    
    We've got 7 units on the line again, with more to come this afternoon and possibly an evening blog with some NBA picks and props for round 2. Lets Lock It In!

Wednesday, April 26, 2023

Major League Baseball Picks and Props: 4/26/2023

 

MLB Props and Picks 4/26 


            We're back state side after an absolute blunder in La Liga and the Premier league. Time to bet on some good ole baseball in the NATIONAL and AMERICAN leagues. Home sweet home! Today we got a nice parlay we're going to recouped with, a guest pick from MoneyLine Mike, as well as a few first inning scores from Thommy Doggs. Let's jump right in!

        First, we make our money back from the Euro trip. We have some prime-time games tonight from coast to coast tonight with the Oakland Athletics traveling to LA to take on the Angels at 9:40 pm Eastern, as well as the Miami Marlins flying up to the ATL to take on the Braves.

        PARLAY PICKS:

        Braves ML -155 
        +
        A's @ Angels u9.5 runs -125
        =
        Tasty 2 leg +200 parlay to throw 1 unit for the night time
        Lock It In!



        MoneyLine Mike Guest Pick

        Rangers @ Reds 12:35 pm Eastern
        MLM is dipping into the company account and throwing down a fat 3 unit play on the Cincinati Reds +1.5 at home against the Rangers. The Rangers are playing well right now, but the Reds are throwing Ashcraft out tonight so as long as the offense can show up, the Reds might even win the ball game. Lock in 3 units at -165 and catch that game at 1 pm Eastern.


        Thommy Dogg$ First Inning Scores

        Tigers @ Brewers 1:40 pm Eastern
        Tigers NRFI %:            83.26% (28th)
        Brewers NRFI %:         75.00% (23rd)

        1 unit on NRFI at -120 


         Nationals @ Mets 7:10 pm Eastern
        Nationals NRFI %:       68.18% (20th)
        Mets NRFI %:              87.50% (Last)
        
        1 unit on NRFI at -120


       Dodgers @ Pirates 6:35 Eastern
       Dodgers NRFI %:         54.17% (T2nd)
       Pirates NRFI %:            54.17% (T2nd

        1 unit on *YRFI* at -110

 
        
        We had a bad day in Europe yesterday, but being home and enjoying Americas favorite past time seems like a great time to make some money. We lost unit or two, but that's no time to shy away. We're throwing 7 units down on MLB today with a potential to net 5.4 units! Let's Lock It In!!
        

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Thommy Soccer Balls Gives Picks Across Europe! 4/25/2023


Thommy Takes a Euro Trip


         Today, we're taking a trip over the pond and galivanting all across Europe! We'll be stopping in Spain to witness the wonder that is La Liga, then sailing up then channel to catch some Premier League games! Keep an eye out for an NBA post in the early hours of the afternoon today as well! Let's jump right in!



        La Liga 
    
        1:30 pm Eastern
        Girona @ Real Madrid
        
        Girona                +380
        Draw                  +310
        Real Madrid       -165
        
                Take Real Madrid ML -165 but wait, we're going for a Spanish Parlay!

        1:30 pm Eastern
        Cadiz @ Osasuna

        Cadiz                 +135
        Draw                 +200
        Osasuna             +215

                On top of Real Madrid, Cadiz is going to take this early afternoon matchup with ease. Cadiz ML +135 matched with Real Madrid -165 makes a 2 leg +275 Spanish Parlay! Throw 2 units on this and Lock It In!

        English Premier

        2:30 pm Eastern
        Wolves @ Crystal Palace

        Wolves              +155
        Draw                 +205
        Crystal Palace   +210
        
                  Wolves isn't playing special in an which way going into this Tuesday match up, but neither has Crystal. Both teams are struggling to find their rythm, and while Wolverhampton has the slight advantage, Crystal palace hosting the match puts it closer to even than anything. Thommy's calling for 1 unit on the match to end in a Draw +205!

        2:45 pm Eastern
        Aston Villa @ Fulham

        Aston Villa        -125
        Draw                 +290
        Fulham              +340


                   Short and simple! Aston Villa is going to go in and win this match 2-0. You can go in and bet Aston Villa 2-0 Fulham at +600, but we're sticking with the safe play and just throwing 2 units on Aston Villa ML -125. Lock It In, Lock It all In!!!

Thursday, April 20, 2023

NBA ON 4/20! Find Sixers-Nets Game 3 Props and Picks Here!

 

Round 1 Game 3


              We NBA picks are finally here! Still trying to get our rhythm down, but we have an announcement to make up for it. We have officially launched a Lock Picker Betting Facebook and Twitter page! Follow our Twitter @LockPicker_Bets, and our Facebook Lock Picker Betting. Thank you guys so much, and lets jump into some playoff action, (finally)!!

        Tonight, the Philadelphia 76ers travel to Brooklyn to take on the Nets after taking care of business at home. Will the Nets start to put up a fight in front of their home crowd, or will the Sixers carry on with their dominance in preparation for the Celtics. Find out more below!
        76ers @ Nets 7:30 pm 
   
        First, the props. We know stealing is illegal, but Joel Embiid over 11.5 rebounds @-110 after his dominant 20-point 19-board game Monday night sort of feels like taking candy from a baby. Claxton can't bang with the MVP, and if the guards are going to keep shooting as much as they have been, the boards should be plentiful. We're Locking in 2 units on the Embiid and rooting for another dominant performance.

        Next prop we cooked up for you goes along with Embiids rebounds. The nets won't be able to score on the inside when the big man is in the paint, so they're going to have to look for their shooters. Joe Harris has played 13+ minutes both games so far this series and is shooting 1/5 from beyond the arc. When he's on, Joe can be an assassin from outside and with the series finally going home to Brooklyn, this feels like his time to shine. Joe Harris over 1.5 made threes @+180. This one was stood out to us a lot as a big money-making play, so we're going balls to the wall and throwing a fat 4 units at the bookies at DraftKings and riding the bet into the late games! Lock It tf In!!

        Finally for this game, we're going to keep it simple and sweet. 2 units on Sixers -4.5 @-110. The nets made a good move trading for those young players during the season and hopefully they can build on it, but the Sixers are a team hearing doubt from every direction about how they match up against the Celtics. Look for the Sixers to take care of business tonight, then try to close it out in four on Saturday and start prepping for their potential round 2 matchup with the Celtics.

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

MLB PROPS AND BETTING PICKS: 4/19/2023



MLB PROPS AND PICKS


         We're back! Sorry for the brief break, our boy Thommy Doggs had to take care of some insider shark type stuff that is way beyond all of our knowledge, but he's back! Today, we'll be dropping this in the morning on Wednesday regarding the MLB slate for the day, and then tonight we'll release a vlog on loom of Thommy giving out some MLB picks for later this evening. We've got a sports betting double header and Thommy is bringing his fastball to the plate! Let's jump right in.

         Since we're hopping back into this after a stint, let's keep it simple, yet sweet. Today we're running the MLB gambling cycle with a favorite, underdog, over, under, and as a bonus, a NRFI prop. No further introductions, get after it!


Your Favorites Favorite
     For our favorite flavor of the day, we're going to Detroit where the Tigers are hosting the Guardians. Both teams are looking to get a streak going early in the year, but the Tigers don't have what it takes to be one of those teams this year. Cleveland is -135 on the road today against a team that they are more than capable of beating. We're throwing 2 units on the G's to get the day started off on the right vibe. Lock It In!
Thommys Dog
     Thommy is starving and has been sniffing for plus signs all weeks! He's scoured the board and has come up with the Milwaukee Brewers money line @+110 on DraftKings despite their hot start compared to the Mariners slow start. Doggs has 2 units on the Brew Crew, Lock It In!
Over the Moon
    We're going to the Big Apple in prime time to watch as the Angels travel East to New York to do battle with the Yankees at 7:05 pm. With a lot of eyes on a star-studded matchup like this one, look for bombs to be dropped! We aren't officially giving it out, but a Judge ore Trout homerun bet on national tv probably isn't a dumb move! The over in this game is sitting at 9 runs @ -115 and we're going to stack 2 units on top of it. Lock It In!
Under the Sea: Mets @ Dodgers - under 8.5
     We're going out West to find which under is sleeping with the fish tonight! The Mets are flying to LA to take on the Dodgers at 3:40 pm with a big pitcher dual between Noah Syndergaard and Max Scherzer. Our under is sitting at 8.5 right now with -110 odds which is an easy afternoon of rooting for premium pitching before getting excited for points in the night game. We're throwing 2 units on under 8.5 runs scored in LA and Locking It In!
No Running by the Pool (During the First Inning): D-Backs @ Cardinals - NRFI
    The Diamond Backs are traveling to St. Louis and are starting Madison Bumgarner against the Cardinals at 1:15 pm eastern. This game is currently sitting at +105 for no runs in the first inning with two mediocre teams early in the season. This feels like a fun play early in the afternoon to throw 2 units down on then sweat the first few minutes before jumping back to the 


Where going insane today! With 10 units on the board, we stand to make a lot of money today on MLB alone, with more NBA picks coming tonight. Good luck to all, and we'll see and Thommy Doggs on the Loom vlog tonight for game 2 of the NBA playoffs!




Thursday, April 6, 2023

MLB Guest Picke 4/6/23: Moneyline Mike

 

Moneyline Mike MLB Guest Picker


         As this blog still searches for its identity, we're going to continue to try new and interesting ways to make gambling more exciting to follow along with. Today we have a lifelong MLB fan and analyst, Moneyline Mike, sharing their inside takes on games this afternoon. In the future we may introduce personal column written by Mike so that he can discuss his picks more in depth, but for now his picks will just be uploaded like normal picks with him being credited. With that being said, let's get into the MLB tonight!


Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies    4:10 pm

Nationals ML                 +145
Rockies ML                    -170

Over 11 Total Runs         -110
Under 11 Total Runs       -110



LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks          10:10 pm


Dodgers ML                   -155
D-Backs ML                  +135
   
Over 8.5 Total Runs       -105
Under 8.5 Total Runs     -115


    Despite the name Moneyline Mike, he's giving us an over/under parlay special!

Moneyline Mike Parlay
2 legs +270

Nationals-Rockies u11 total runs                  -110

Dodgers-Diamondbacks o8.5 total runs        -105

    Note: These picks are not being given out my Thommy Doggs, but they will still be counted towards the Lock Picker Betting total record and unit count. Good luck and Lock It In!


Tuesday, April 4, 2023

NBA Betting VLOG: Trying out Loom

    

NBA Same Game Parlay Vlog


     I recently learned about this online media tool that a lot of companies use called Loom. Loom is a site that allows you to screen share videos with coworkers and employers in an attempt to cut down on time wasting meetings and over whelming email. I decided to use Loom to screen share the sports book with you guys and talk you through some simplified reasons for a few picks. This is something that I'm interested in going forward, and hope to be able to take advantage of for the sake of Lock Picker.

    Without further ado, click the link HERE to view the video I created of me putting together a same game parlay on DraftKings. Before you view it though, know this. I made a mistake with my last pick and accidentally clicked on the u8.5 button instead of the o8.5, just know that when I placed the bet on my phone, I did the correct pick and took Giddy o8.5 boards.

Thommy Dogg$ picks:

Same Game Parlay
-Steph Curry o29.5 points
-Isaiah Joe o1.5 three-pointers
-Josh Giddy o8.5 rebounds

I placed 1 unit on this Frankenstein @ +390, time to Lock It In!

Monday, April 3, 2023

UConn-SDSU 2023 Championship-Lock Picker

 

 Wrapping up the Madness


    We're coming to the end of what has been a very exciting NCAA Men's Basketball tournament. We've seen history made with Fairleigh Dickenson being the second ever 16-seed to win a game. We saw the first ever Final Four that didn't consist of a one, two, or three seed. A lot has happened, and it all lead us to the championship game that everyone saw coming from the start, San Diego State vs. Connecticut. If you've been following along this march, we've had a lot of awesome games which march is notorious for producing, but I don't expect the same today. UConn is on track to be make a lot of history this year if they can pull of the win.


  • UConn is currently 16-0 against non-conference opponents this season.
  • UConn held Miami's #5 offense in the country according to KenPom (79.1ppg) to 59 points.
  • UConn held Gonzagas #1 offense in the country according to KenPom (86.1ppg) to 54 points.
  • UConn beat two top 5 offenses and allowed 20+ points less than what those teams were averaging.
  • Fifth team to beat every team by double digits on their path to the National Championship Game
    • 2000 Michigan (Won Natty)
    • 2001 Duke (Won Natty)
    • 2009 UNC (Won Natty)
    • 2016 UNC (Lost Natty to Villanova)
    • 2018 Villanova (Won Natty)
  • Adama Sanogo, UConn center, is the fourth player in 40 years to average 20+ppg while shooting 65%+ from the field. (Did it all while fasting for Ramadan :o)

                                     4 UConn                 -7.5               o132.5              ML
                                                                    -110                -110               -365


                                     San Diego St.       +7.5              u132.5              ML
                                                                     -110                -110              +300

        I personally bet every pick I give out and use primarily DraftKings. If there's a sportsbook that will allow you to bet college player props, I've seen Sanogo sitting around 7.5 rebounds at around -130. That's a pick that I would love to find but since I can't It's not an official pick. if you have a similar option, I'd definitely consider a 2-3 unit play.


Thommy Doggs Locks
    The safest bet of the night unfortunately sits at -365. If you're a big-time gambler and want to throw a 5-6 unit play down on that and try to win a quick unit or two, go for it. Free money! That's not the Dogg$ way the, Thommy likes to sweat. We've been fed all of this talk about how great UConn is and how SDSU doesn't stand a chance, well I've consumed all of it and I'm now regurgitating it to you! UConn can handle any team and the country, and they've showed it over the past month. I think they've looked very similar to last year's Kansas team with a great coach, an anchor of a big man, and guards who can move the ball with ease. I have UConn continuing the blow out streak and winning by 10+, so with the line set at 7.5 this is a big 3u play for the blog. I also see how easy it is for UConn to shut teams down on offense, and SDSU has a very low scoring offense. the o/u is set at 132.5 and I don't think San Diego St. will sniff 60. This game feels like a 74-52 game with UConn winning, covering, and cashing the under. The final pick is going to be an exciting one for all my first half fanatics. UConn is -4 in the first half @-115 and when San Diego starts slow, they usually stay slow. If UConn can jump out to a 6-7 point lead, SD St. doesn't have the offense to come back from that and will most likely fall behind even further. While I often like parlaying picks like this together, I'm going to start betting picks independent from each other, and also giving them out in the same fashion. 

4 units on UConn -7.5 @-110 (net 3.6u)

2 units UConn 1h -4 @-115 (net 1.6u)

2 units u132.5 @-110 (net 1.8u)


In total we're throwing down 8 units with a potential pay out net 7 unit. I'll see you all Wednesday for an all-day MLB-NBA mash of picks. Stay Locked In!

Thursday, March 30, 2023

Opening Day 2023


MLB Opening Day 2023


        What's up guys? We're back and ready to right all wrongs! Klay Thompson hurt us the other night, and we won't soon forget this, but it's time to move on! Today we have a tasty slate in front of us with the Opening Day of the MLB for the 2023 season. These early games are often difficult to pick because we haven't yet seen how well some of these teams play together or hoe some of these new rule changes affect the game. What we know right now is the pitch clock has been implemented meaning pitchers will have less time in between pitches to collect themselves. Another thing that is new is the bases are now a few inches bigger. Onye time will tell if this has any true impact on the game as I think it could go either way. Tagging runners out may become easier but reaching bases faster could also happen from the offense's perspective. Finally, the shift has been banned. Managers will be limited to where they position fielders which takes a bit of the analytics out of the game. 

        We all know that baseball has been falling out of the public eye the last decade or two, and the MLB is aware of this. These rules all lean towards more scoring which is what draws attention. What bettors need to be aware of is everyone knows that there will be more scoring, so odds makers will surely skew the lines. If an over is set at 9.5 runs, the is now shame in adjusting the line to 7.5 and playing it safe or maybe even pairing that bet with another similar line to get plus money rolling.

        Before I give out my own hand selected picks, I want to share a QSGP, or Quick Same Game Parlay offered on DraftKings Sportsbook. These are premade parlays that are offered as fliers for maybe a small one-unit bet. For today's game between the Phillies and the Rangers, you can bet:

-Aaron Nola 5+ strikeouts
-Trae Turner to hit a single
-Kyle Schwarber 1+ RBIs

@ +525 odds

        They are also offering a few other deals like a 100% insurance bet up to $10 if your bet loses, Ohtani to record a hit boosted to +100, and parlay percentage boosts. I'm personally riding the same game parlay in the Phillies-Rangers game I have listed above with a 20% boost to take it to +630. 
Now for my picks! Since its opening day and theirs new faces, new rules, and lots of uncertainty, I won't be breaking each pick down like I did for the NBA on my first post. In the future when we're a couple games in and I have more stats and analytics to base my picks on, Ill share my research for you to form your own opinion.

SF Giants @ NY Yankees                1:05 pm

Yankees ML                     -180
Yankees -1.5                   +130

Giants ML                       +160
Giants +1.5                      -160

Over 6.5                           -125
Under 6.5                         -105


   The Yankees are notorious for scoring at home, and a total set at 6.5 it feels so easy to take the over. Wrong. The Yankees are putting Garret Cole on the mound for opening day and as one of the premier pitchers the league has to offer, expect an all-star performance. I would love to take his over in strike outs but with the new pitch clock rule, it feels too risky. I'm riding under 6.5 runs scored @ -105 and hoping that the Giants defense is able to hold the Yankees around 3 runs.

BAL Orioles @ BOS Red Sox         2:10 pm

Red Sox ML                    -125
Red Sox -1.5                   +155

Orioles ML                     +105
Orioles +1.5                    -180

Over 8.5                          -115
Under 8.5                        -105

    I've been talking to a few MLB enthusiasts and the consensus is that the Orioles are an improved and underrated team going into this season. This game is a close call in the books, and for a good reason. The Orioles money line is set very low to +105 and as tempting as it is, we must take the safe route. The O's are a fun opening day road dog for a teaser money line, but guaranteed money lays in Orioles +1.5 @ -180.



   I know it's a bit under whelming giving out only two picks for opening day, but I'm not a baseball wizard, I'm a gambler. The only thing that matters is winning the bets, and that's what we're here to do.

1 unit QSGP presented by DraftKings Sportsbook @+525 (net 10.6 units)
2 units on under 6.5 total runs in Yankees-Giants @-105 (net 1.8 units)
2 units on Orioles +1.5 @-180 (net 1.1 units)

Tuesday, March 28, 2023

WELCOME TO LOCK PICKER BETTING


A New Era in Betting

        Welcome fanatics, degenerates, and all other gambler alike! My name is Thommy Doggs, and this is the Lock Picker Betting blog. I decided I wanted to make this blog to give people not only a free, but also fun and interactive environment to gather, talk picks, trends, advice, and anything else sports related all in one place. I've been betting on sports for around two years now and like you, I've visited a lot of different sites, pages, and blogs looking for any sort of advantage I could get. What I want this blog to be is a collection of my daily research into lines and trends in most sports across the board, and then a breakdown on which picks and props to take based on the research findings.

    As a gambler, I've always wondered what my lifetime record was as well as what my lifetime earnings or losings are. With this blog, I will resurrect my gambling life like a phoenix, and rise out of the ashes a new unscathed man with a record of 0-0-0. My goal is going to be to put out three posts a week, most likely Monday-Wednesday-Friday, giving picks on some of the bigger games or games that I feel strongly about. I'll make sure to include some of the Props available on sites like DraftKings, Barstool Sportsbook, and FanDuel. I don't personally use Cesar or any other site, but if I get positive feedback about other sites, you guys use, I'd be more than happy to go make money on them.

    This being the introductory post of Lock Picker, I feel it would be wrong for me to sign off before giving you all at least one lock. Today is March 28th, 2023, and tonight at 10pm eastern, the New Orleans Pelicans travel to the Bay Area to take on the Golden State Warriors. I have formatted this so that you can look at the research collected and formulate a pick of your own before seeing what I'm giving out. At the end, I'll share the picks we're going with, and their odds. If our picks line up, its destiny and you should not only go bet responsibly on it, but also go subscribe and share this blog. 


Odds:

NOLA:             +8.5           o234              Money Line                          

                    -110            -110                   +290                           

NBA FINALS GAME 3 BETTING PROPS AND PICKS 5/7/2023

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