Wrapping up the Madness
We're coming to the end of what has been a very exciting NCAA Men's Basketball tournament. We've seen history made with Fairleigh Dickenson being the second ever 16-seed to win a game. We saw the first ever Final Four that didn't consist of a one, two, or three seed. A lot has happened, and it all lead us to the championship game that everyone saw coming from the start, San Diego State vs. Connecticut. If you've been following along this march, we've had a lot of awesome games which march is notorious for producing, but I don't expect the same today. UConn is on track to be make a lot of history this year if they can pull of the win.
- UConn is currently 16-0 against non-conference opponents this season.
- UConn held Miami's #5 offense in the country according to KenPom (79.1ppg) to 59 points.
- UConn held Gonzagas #1 offense in the country according to KenPom (86.1ppg) to 54 points.
- UConn beat two top 5 offenses and allowed 20+ points less than what those teams were averaging.
- Fifth team to beat every team by double digits on their path to the National Championship Game
- 2000 Michigan (Won Natty)
- 2001 Duke (Won Natty)
- 2009 UNC (Won Natty)
- 2016 UNC (Lost Natty to Villanova)
- 2018 Villanova (Won Natty)
- Adama Sanogo, UConn center, is the fourth player in 40 years to average 20+ppg while shooting 65%+ from the field. (Did it all while fasting for Ramadan :o)
4 UConn -7.5 o132.5 ML
-110 -110 -365
5 San Diego St. +7.5 u132.5 ML
-110 -110 +300
I personally bet every pick I give out and use primarily DraftKings. If there's a sportsbook that will allow you to bet college player props, I've seen Sanogo sitting around 7.5 rebounds at around -130. That's a pick that I would love to find but since I can't It's not an official pick. if you have a similar option, I'd definitely consider a 2-3 unit play.
Thommy Doggs Locks
The safest bet of the night unfortunately sits at -365. If you're a big-time gambler and want to throw a 5-6 unit play down on that and try to win a quick unit or two, go for it. Free money! That's not the Dogg$ way the, Thommy likes to sweat. We've been fed all of this talk about how great UConn is and how SDSU doesn't stand a chance, well I've consumed all of it and I'm now regurgitating it to you! UConn can handle any team and the country, and they've showed it over the past month. I think they've looked very similar to last year's Kansas team with a great coach, an anchor of a big man, and guards who can move the ball with ease. I have UConn continuing the blow out streak and winning by 10+, so with the line set at 7.5 this is a big 3u play for the blog. I also see how easy it is for UConn to shut teams down on offense, and SDSU has a very low scoring offense. the o/u is set at 132.5 and I don't think San Diego St. will sniff 60. This game feels like a 74-52 game with UConn winning, covering, and cashing the under. The final pick is going to be an exciting one for all my first half fanatics. UConn is -4 in the first half @-115 and when San Diego starts slow, they usually stay slow. If UConn can jump out to a 6-7 point lead, SD St. doesn't have the offense to come back from that and will most likely fall behind even further. While I often like parlaying picks like this together, I'm going to start betting picks independent from each other, and also giving them out in the same fashion.
4 units on UConn -7.5 @-110 (net 3.6u)
2 units UConn 1h -4 @-115 (net 1.6u)
2 units u132.5 @-110 (net 1.8u)
In total we're throwing down 8 units with a potential pay out net 7 unit. I'll see you all Wednesday for an all-day MLB-NBA mash of picks. Stay Locked In!
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